2024 Atlantic hurricane season
2024 Atlantic hurricane season | |
---|---|
Seasonal boundaries | |
First system formed | None yet |
Last system dissipated | Season ongoing |
Seasonal statistics | |
Total fatalities | None |
Total damage | None |
Related articles | |
The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is an ongoing Atlantic hurricane season in the Northern Hemisphere. The season officially began on June 1, and ends on November 30. These dates, adopted by convention, historically describe the period in each year when most subtropical or tropical cyclogenesis occurs in the Atlantic Ocean. Many major forecasting agencies have predicted a well above-average season.
Seasonal forecasts
Source | Date | Named storms |
Hurricanes | Major hurricanes |
Ref |
Average (1991–2020) | 14.4 | 7.2 | 3.2 | [1] | |
Record high activity | 30 | 15 | 7† | [2] | |
Record low activity | 1 | 0† | 0† | [2] | |
TSR | December 11, 2023 | 20 | 9 | 4 | [3] |
CSU | April 4, 2024 | 23 | 11 | 5 | [4] |
MFM | April 5, 2024 | 21 | 11 | N/A | [5] |
TSR | April 8, 2024 | 23 | 11 | 5 | [6] |
UA | April 8, 2024 | 21 | 11 | 5 | [7] |
MU | April 12, 2024 | 26 | 11 | 5 | [8] |
NCSU | April 16, 2024 | 15–20 | 10–12 | 3–4 | [9] |
UPenn | April 24, 2024 | 33 | N/A | N/A | [10] |
SMN | May 6, 2024 | 20–23 | 9–11 | 4–5 | [11] |
UKMO* | May 22, 2024 | 22 | 12 | 4 | [12] |
NOAA | May 23, 2024 | 17–25 | 8–13 | 4–7 | [13] |
TSR | May 30, 2024 | 24 | 12 | 6 | [14] |
Actual activity | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
* June–November only † Most recent of several such occurrences. (See all) |
In advance of, and during, each hurricane season, several forecasts of hurricane activity are issued by national meteorological services, scientific agencies, and noted hurricane experts. These include forecasters from the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)'s Climate Prediction Center, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), the United Kingdom's Met Office (UKMO), and Colorado State University (CSU). The forecasts include weekly and monthly changes in significant factors that help determine the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a particular year.[15]
According to NOAA and CSU, the average
Pre-season forecasts
On December 11, 2023, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) released its extended range forecast for the 2024 season, predicting an above-average season with 20
Storm names
The following list of names will be used for named storms that form in the North Atlantic in 2024.[19] This is the same list used in the 2018 season, with the exceptions of Francine and Milton, which replaced Florence and Michael, respectively.[20]
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See also
- Weather of 2024
- Tropical cyclones in 2024
- Atlantic hurricane season
- 2024 Pacific hurricane season
- 2024 Pacific typhoon season
- 2024 North Indian Ocean cyclone season
- South-West Indian Ocean cyclone seasons: 2023–24, 2024–25
- Australian region cyclone seasons: 2023–24, 2024–25
- South Pacific cyclone seasons: 2023–24, 2024–25
Notes
- ^ Hurricanes reaching Category 3 and higher—1-minute sustained winds higher than 110 miles per hour (178 km/h)—on the Saffir–Simpson scale are described as major hurricanes.[17]
References
- ^ a b c "Background Information: North Atlantic Hurricane Season". College Park, Maryland: Climate Prediction Center. April 9, 2021. Retrieved December 6, 2022.
- ^ a b "North Atlantic Ocean Historical Tropical Cyclone Statistics". Fort Collins, Colorado: Colorado State University. Retrieved July 18, 2023.
- ^ a b c Wood, Nick (December 11, 2023). "Extended Range Forecast for North Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2024" (PDF). Tropical Storm Risk. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ a b Klotzbach, Phil (April 4, 2024). "EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2024" (PDF). Colorado State University. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ^ a b "BULLETIN TECHNIQUE DES PRÉVISIONS D'ACTIVITÉ CYCLONIQUE DE LA SAISON 2024 par Météo-France Martinique". Météo-France (in French). April 5, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
- ^ a b Lea, Adam (April 8, 2024). "Extended Range Forecast for North Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2024" (PDF). Tropical Storm Risk. Retrieved April 8, 2024.
- ^ a b Davis, Kyle; Zeng, Xubin (April 8, 2024). "Forecast of the 2024 Hurricane Activities over the North Atlantic". Tucson, Arizona: University of Arizona. Retrieved April 8, 2024.
- ^ a b Weaver, Sarah; Schwent, Thomas; Sadeghi, Atabak; Renken, Joe; Lupo, Tony. "Atlantic Ocean Basin Tropical Forecast 2024" (PDF). University of Missouri. Archived (PDF) from the original on April 25, 2024. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
- ^ a b Xie, Lian; Peake, Tracey (April 16, 2024). "NC State Researchers Predict Active Hurricane Season". Raleigh, North Carolina: NC State News. Retrieved April 16, 2024.
- ^ a b Magubane, Nathi (April 24, 2024). "2024 Tropical Cyclone Prediction". Philadelphia, Pennsylvania: University of Pennsylvania. Retrieved April 24, 2024.
- ^ a b "Temporada de Ciclones Tropicales 2024". Mexico City, MX: Gobierno de Mexico. May 6, 2024.
- ^ "North Atlantic tropical storm seasonal forecast 2024". The United Kingdom Met Office. May 22, 2024. Retrieved May 22, 2024.
- ^ a b "NOAA predicts above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season". National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. May 23, 2024. Retrieved May 23, 2024.
- ^ a b Lea, Adam (May 30, 2024). "Pre-Season Forecast Update for North Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2024" (PDF). Tropical Storm Risk. Retrieved May 30, 2024.
- .
- ^ Masters, Jeff (April 4, 2024). "Forecasters predict an extremely active 2024 Atlantic hurricane season". Yale Climate Connections. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
- ^ "Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale". Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Archived from the original on June 20, 2020. Retrieved November 29, 2023.
- ^ "North Atlantic tropical storm seasonal forecast 2024". The United Kingdom Met Office. May 22, 2024. Retrieved May 22, 2024.
- ^ Gay, Nancy (April 4, 2024). "Hurricane names 2024: Here's why the list may look familiar". Tampa, Florida: WTVT. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
- ^ "Florence and Michael retired by the World Meteorological Organization". National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. March 20, 2019. Retrieved January 25, 2024.